February 29, 2024

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Dataset Reveals Singapore’s Sea-Level History over 10,000 Years

Nanyang Technological University, Singapore (NTU, Singapore) climate scientists have extended the known record of Singapore’s sea level to almost 10,000 years ago, giving a more solid dataset to improve future sea-level rise projections.

This more refined sea-level record also has wider implications. For instance, it would lead to more robust and accurate local projection of sea-level rise, offering a strategic guide for Singapore as it moves to adapt to climate change.

– Dr Stephen Chua, Lead Author

Stephen added by dating the Singapore sea-level record to 10,000 years ago, they retrieved crucial new information from the early Holocene period. This is a time of rapid sea-level rise that has remained poorly understood – until now. Furthermore, reconstructing its history over thousands of years is one of the most difficult aspects of studying climate change. To have a better understanding of the possible causes and repercussions of future developments, scientists must study and comprehend the past.

An international team led by NTU researchers extracted ancient sediments from up to 40 m underground at a site in Singapore’s Marina South. The samples were then subjected to rigorous laboratory methods such as identifying microfossils like foraminifera and statistical analysis to reconstruct Singapore’s sea-level history.

The longer the sea-level record goes back in time, the clearer the picture becomes for future predictions, according to climate scientists. The Holocene transition (10,000-7,000 years ago) was the last major episode of natural global warming in Earth’s history, with melting ice sheets and rising oceans resulting in a 20-meter rise in sea level. Before the recent increase in the twentieth century due to climate change, the sea level in Singapore has been constant for the last 3,000 years.

Researchers believed that this is the type of crucial information needed to effectively plan adaptation measures in the face of ongoing sea-level rise due to global warming. The team chose the Marina South investigations. Sediment extraction from an ‘ideal’ site with deposits like marine mud and mangrove peats was required to create an accurate ancient sea-level record.

Sea-level rise is a potentially disastrous outcome of climate change, as rising temperatures melt ice sheets and warm ocean waters. Scenarios of future rise are dependent upon understanding the response of sea level to climate changes. Accurate estimates of past sea-level variability in Singapore provide a context for such projections.

– Professor Benjamin Horton, Co-author & Director, Earth Observatory of Singapore

Singapore’s coastal defence plan against rising sea levels will benefit from the findings. The study also discovered the first clear evidence that mangroves only existed for roughly 300 years in the Marina South area before succumbing to flooding caused by rising sea levels at the time.

Researchers discovered abundant mangrove pollen at a depth of 20 metres below contemporary sea level, indicating that a mangrove shoreline existed in southern Singapore nearly 10,000 years ago. According to the findings of the NTU, sea-level rise during that time was as much as 10 – 15 mm per year, which likely contributed to the extinction of the mangrove.

The findings are useful for present and future adaptation strategies in Singapore, as the island nation seeks to move beyond engineering solutions and use natural approaches to protect its shoreline.

Despite their adaptability and usefulness as coastal defence, mangroves have limitations in the event of a fast sea-level rise, according to the study. This research backs up a previous study co-authored by NTU that found mangroves will perish if sea levels rise faster than 7 mm per year under a high carbon emissions scenario.

The sea-level change was modelled without deglaciation, meltwater discharge, and other considerations. This important systematic contribution from Singapore and the vicinity spans the post-glacial Holocene period, allowing a broad sea-level change pattern to be formed.

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Qlik’s vision is a data-literate world, where everyone can use data and analytics to improve decision-making and solve their most challenging problems. A private company, Qlik offers real-time data integration and analytics solutions, powered by Qlik Cloud, to close the gaps between data, insights and action. By transforming data into Active Intelligence, businesses can drive better decisions, improve revenue and profitability, and optimize customer relationships. Qlik serves more than 38,000 active customers in over 100 countries.

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CTC Global Singapore, a premier end-to-end IT solutions provider, is a fully owned subsidiary of ITOCHU Techno-Solutions Corporation (CTC) and ITOCHU Corporation.

Since 1972, CTC has established itself as one of the country’s top IT solutions providers. With 50 years of experience, headed by an experienced management team and staffed by over 200 qualified IT professionals, we support organizations with integrated IT solutions expertise in Autonomous IT, Cyber Security, Digital Transformation, Enterprise Cloud Infrastructure, Workplace Modernization and Professional Services.

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SIRIM is a premier industrial research and technology organisation in Malaysia, wholly-owned by the Minister​ of Finance Incorporated. With over forty years of experience and expertise, SIRIM is mandated as the machinery for research and technology development, and the national champion of quality. SIRIM has always played a major role in the development of the country’s private sector. By tapping into our expertise and knowledge base, we focus on developing new technologies and improvements in the manufacturing, technology and services sectors. We nurture Small Medium Enterprises (SME) growth with solutions for technology penetration and upgrading, making it an ideal technology partner for SMEs.

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HashiCorp provides infrastructure automation software for multi-cloud environments, enabling enterprises to unlock a common cloud operating model to provision, secure, connect, and run any application on any infrastructure. HashiCorp tools allow organizations to deliver applications faster by helping enterprises transition from manual processes and ITIL practices to self-service automation and DevOps practices. 

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IBM is a leading global hybrid cloud and AI, and business services provider. We help clients in more than 175 countries capitalize on insights from their data, streamline business processes, reduce costs and gain the competitive edge in their industries. Nearly 3,000 government and corporate entities in critical infrastructure areas such as financial services, telecommunications and healthcare rely on IBM’s hybrid cloud platform and Red Hat OpenShift to affect their digital transformations quickly, efficiently and securely. IBM’s breakthrough innovations in AI, quantum computing, industry-specific cloud solutions and business services deliver open and flexible options to our clients. All of this is backed by IBM’s legendary commitment to trust, transparency, responsibility, inclusivity and service.

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